“AUKUS and its implications for Asia, US-European relations and non-proliferation”, Bruno Tertrais (NUPI, Norway)

The political, strategic and technological aspects of the AUKUS deal may be more important than the provision of nuclear-powered submarines.

The deal is a clear sign of the US tilt towards Asia and will have important implications for both US-French, US-EU and US-NATO relations.

AUKUS does not imply any nuclear weapons proliferation risk. However, it paths the way for a proliferation of nuclear-powered submarines, which will open for legitimate and illegitimate claims for producing Highly Enriched Uranium.

It remains to be seen whether the strategic benefits of AUKUS in the Indo-pacific will outweigh its political costs for transatlantic relations and the image of the United States as a trusted security partner.

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