“Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: Iraq”, Elisabeth L. Rosvold et al. (NUPI, Norway)

The effects of climate change are felt in several critical sectors in Iraq. A new SIPRI–NUPI fact sheet examines climate-related security risks in the country and provides key recommendations.

Key findings are:

  • Increasing temperatures, decreasing water availability and greater inter-annual variability in rainfall negatively affect agriculture, reduce household income and food availability, and exacerbate livelihood insecurity. Women and girls are disproportionately affected by the adverse effects of climate change, due to pre-existing gender norms and persisting inequalities.
  • Low agriculture yields and loss of livelihoods contribute to increased urban migration, with urban challenges including the risk of social unrest and protests in host cities.
  • Armed groups and militias leverage the economic hardships, further exacerbated by the compounding effects of climate change, for recruitment and support.

Weak governance increases the opportunities for elite exploitation and corruption, which leads to further marginalization and exclusion that feed grievances and drive instability.

Read more here.