The Ethiopian government ended its military intervention in the Tigray region last December after five weeks of open conflict against the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). Far from the crisis being over, there is a serious risk that it will become entrenched and turn into a guerrilla war. Domestic instability and growing diplomatic tension with Sudan and Egypt make Abiy Ahmed’s Ethiopia a potential destabiliser of the Horn of Africa and the continent as a whole.
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