Publications from the Elcano Royal Institute, February-April 2015

Mario Esteban and Miguel Otero-Iglesias. What are the prospects for the new Chinese-led Silk Road and Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank? ARI 23/2015 – 17/4/2015. The new Silk Road is the most ambitious international initiative yet to be launched by the Chinese President, Xi Jinping. This policy has many strands, one of the most prominent being the creation of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. We examine its possible implications for Europe, including Spain.

Haizam Amirah-Fernández. The true ‘Arab exception’. Expert Comment 30/2015 (English version) – 16/4/2015. What has been confirmed by the four years of convulsive transitions in the Maghreb and the Middle East is that, for the time being, the ‘Arab economic and geopolitical exception’ remains in place.

Elcano Royal Institute and the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM). Spain and Poland: strategic partners in a Union in flux. 15/4/2015. How to cooperate in a Europe in flux? The Elcano Royal Institute and the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM) have discussed the future of Spain and Poland in the European Union, security issues in the common neighbourhood and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP).

Jessica Almqvist. Spain and the UN Security Council: global governance, human rights and democratic values. Expert Comment 29/2015 – 14/4/2015. Spain assumes its position as a non-permanent member in the UN Security Council at a time when the expectations of what this organ is meant to accomplish are on a constant rise.

Christopher Davis. The Ukraine Conflict, Economic-Military Power Balances, and Economic Sanctions: lessons from the past for future EU policies. ARI 20/2015 – 10/4/2015. How generously should the European Union support the reform and recovery of the Ukraine economy? Should the EU de-couple its policies concerning anti-Russia economic sanctions from those of the US? Should the EU countries discourage NATO from providing military assistance to the armed forces of Ukraine?

Haizam Amirah. Tunisia, democracy in danger. Expert Comment 25/2015 30/30/2015. The aim of the slaughter in the Bardo Museum is threefold: to try to derail the promising democratic transition; to torpedo the economy by hitting the all-important tourism industry; and to drag Tunisia into a scenario of Jihadism that generates chaos.

William Chislett. Spanish companies in new wave of acquisitions. Expert Comment 23/2015 – 26/3/2015. After a lean period Spanish companies have returned to acquiring firms abroad, in another sign of the economy’s quickening recovery and increased business confidence.

Ramón Blecua. A revolution within revolution: the Houthi movement and the new political dynamics in Yemen. ARI 16/2015 – 24/3/2015. The political transition in Yemen has entered a critical stage after the Houthi movement’s take-over of Sana’a and President Hadi’s flight to Aden. The polarisation of the political forces reflects the growing tensions in the region and could end in an open military conflict.

William Chislett. Spanish banks’ internationalisation: Sabadell offers to buy UK’s TSB. Expert Comment – 18/3/2015. In the latest drive to conquer banks abroad, Banco de Sabadell has boldly offered €1.7 billion for TSB, the UK retail bank carved out of the ailing Lloyds Banking Group two years ago.

Fernando Reinares. Why did Madrid train bombings divide, not unite Spaniards? Op-ed – 13/3/2015. When 11-M occurred, Spaniards sought to explain the terrorist bombings using familiar concepts, since they could not do so using unfamiliar ones. What was familiar? On the one hand, ETA, and on the other, Iraq. Both interpretations were wrong.

William Chislett. Ciudadanos gains ground in Spain’s new political landscape.  Expert Comment 17/2015 – 9/3/2015. The far-left anti-establishment Podemos (‘We can’) is not the only party that is challenging Spain’s discredited two-party system. The centrist Ciudadanos (Citizens’ Party) is rapidly gaining support outside of its Catalan base.

William Chislett. Spain’s merchandise exports continue to flourish, but lose steam. Expert Comment 13/2015 – 27/2/2015. Spain’s merchandise exports rose for the fifth consecutive year in 2014 and set a new record, but their growth was the slowest since 2008.

William Chislett. Why is Spain recovering faster than expected? Expert Comment 10/2015 –20/2/2015. The Spanish economy is gaining momentum at a faster pace than expected.

Miguel Otero-Iglesias. Beyond orthodoxy: understanding money to understand the Eurozone crisis. ARI 9/2015 – 12/02/2015. The Eurozone Crisis has shown that money is not a neutral veil, but rather a social relation between creditors and debtors.

Iliana Olivié, Back to growth in the EU. Will this have an impact on global presence?, Elcano blog, 16 February 2015.

Andrés Ortega, Ukraine: the peace hiding behind the ceasefire, Elcano blog, 17 February 2015.

Andrés Ortega, Europe: fewer Jews, more anti-semites, Elcano blog, 24 February 2015.

Miguel Otero-Iglesias, Financial crises and flushing toilets, Elcano blog, 26 February 2015.

Andrés Ortega, Tsipras seeks some leeway, Elcano blog, 3 March 2015.

Andrés Ortega, The UK: a more insular island, Elcano blog, 10 March 2015.

Andrés Ortega, A European army? But first a Defence Union, Elcano blog, 17 March 2015.

Andrés Ortega, Farewell Palestine?, Elcano blog, 24 March 2015

Andrés Ortega, Europeans race head over heels to Beijing, Elcano blog, 6 April 2015.

Andrés Ortega, Iran’s reconciliation with the world upsets regional balances, Elcano blog, 7 April 2015.

Andrés Ortega, Elections in the UK: Europe is not the issue, but the consequence, Elcano blog, 14 April 2015.