If China is rising, it must be seeking world domination. If Russia is declining, it must be plotting revenge. The […]
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Tag: Russia
“Mistakes, misunderstandings and miscalculation: Reducing the risk of NATO/Russia military incidents and escalation”, ELN-LIIA round table report (LIIA, Latvia)
Ahead of the NATO and Biden-Putin Summits, the European Leadership Network (ELN) and Latvian Institute of International Affairs (LIIA) convened […]
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“Russia’s nationalities policy before and after the 2020 constitutional amendments: Is the “ethnic turn” continuing?”, Veera Laine and Konstantin Zamyatin (FIIA, Finland)
In January 2020, Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed a set of constitutional amendments, aiming to secure the continuity of his […]
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“What’s in a tweet? Twitter’s impact 2021 on public opinion and EU foreign affairs”, Lewin Schmitt (CIDOB, Barcelona)
This paper uses text mining and sentiment analysis of Twitter posts to explore the EU’s diplomatic communication practices and to […]
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“Europe in a Complex and Contested World: Perspectives from the US, China, Russia and Iran”, Giulio Pugliese (IAI, Italy)
The conference elucidated Europe’s role and positioning at a time of multipolar competition – one of JOINT’s major research assumptions […]
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“A Spanish perspective on the Biden Presidency and the future of transatlantic relations”, Carlota García Encina and Luis Simón (Elcano, Spain)
This analysis examines the transatlantic relationship and the potential for a strategic synergy in its three dimensions for Spain –bilateral, […]
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“Russian Grand Strategy and Energy Resources: The Asian Dimension”, Jakub Godzimirski (NUPI, Norway)
This chapter addresses a set of strategically important questions about the relationship between Russian strategy and the country’s energy resources. […]
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“Bohemian Forest Dark Tales: The Czech Republic, Russia’s Dirty War Machine and Western Solidarity”, Ondřej Ditrych (IIR, Czech Republic)
In the light of the Czech-Russian diplomatic tit-for-tat, Ondřej Ditrych, the director of the IIR, argues in his latest commentary […]
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“From the Ukraine–Russia War to the Navalny Case: How to Deal with the Kremlin?”, Nona Mikhelidze (IAI, Italy)
Seven years after the annexation of Crimea and amid an ongoing war in Ukraine, Russia has tried to move towards […]
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“Russia’s redefined view on strategic stability: A security dilemma in Northern Europe?”, Jyri Lavikainen (FIIA, Finland)
Formerly comprising the nuclear relationship between Russia and the US, Russia’s redefined concept of strategic stability includes all forms of […]
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“A Governance and Risk Inventory for a Changing Arctic”, Elana Wilson Rowe, Ulf Sverdrup, Karsten Friis, Geir Hønneland and Mike Sfraga (NUPI, Norway)
In this chapter, Elana Wilson Rowe, Ulf Sverdrup, Karsten Friis, Geir Hønneland, and Mike Sfraga caution against viewing trends of […]
Read moreFEUTURE Voice No. 6: What do Turkey-EU relations mean in the Eastern Neighbourhood?
By Dustin Gilbreath, Deputy Research Director of CRRC-Georgia In this FEUTURE Voice, Dustin Gilbreath analyses the implications of the Turkey-EU relationship […]
Read more“Russian political war: moving beyond the hybrid”, Mark Galeotti (IIR, Czech Republic)
Mark Galeotti, Russian Political War: Moving Beyond the Hybrid New book by Mark Galeotti cuts through the misunderstandings about Russia’s […]
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“Will Russia Return to Europe?”, Andrey Kortunov (CIDOB, Spain)
Andrey Kortunov, Will Russia Return to Europe?, February 2019 Could Russia return to Europe in the foreseeable future? Not in […]
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“Reactive power EU: Russian aggression and the development of an EU Arctic Policy”, Marianne Riddervold and Maia Cross (NUPI, Norway)
Marianne Riddervold and Maia Cross, Reactive Power EU: Russian Aggression and the Development of an EU Arctic Policy, February 2019 […]
Read more“Hybrid Warriors: Transforming Czech Security through the ‘Russian Hybrid Warfare’ Assemblage”, Jan Daniel and Jakub Eberle (IIR, Czech Republic)
Jan Daniel, Jakub Eberle, Hybrid Warriors: Transforming Czech Security through the ‘Russian Hybrid Warfare’ Assemblage Czech Sociological Review published an […]
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“Pull factors driving Russian multinationals into five CEE countries – A sectoral overview”, Csaba Weiner (IWE, Hungary)
Investigating the Russian economic footprint through outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) and the activities of Russian multinationals has not become […]
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“The Sino-Russian and US-Russian relationships: Current developments and future trends”, Teija Tiilikainen, Mark N. Katz, Marcin Kaczmarski (FIIA, Finland)
The great-power system has been in constant change since the end of the Cold War. The US became the hegemonic […]
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Participation of IWE in “Connecting Eurasia: EU-Russia-China-Central Asia Strategic dialogue on connectivity” roundtable
András Deák and Ágnes Szunomár from IWE participated in the “Connecting Eurasia: EU-Russia-China-Central Asia Strategic dialogue on connectivity” roundtable meeting in Moscow organized […]
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“Hungary: Leveraging political influence”, András Deák and Csaba Weiner (IWE, Hungary)
András Deák, Csaba Weiner: Hungary: Leveraging political influence. In Shentov, O., Stefanov, R. and Vladimirov, M. (Eds.) The Russian Economic […]
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“The Russian Language as a Soft Power Tool: The Construction of National Identity by the Kremlin”, Anna Tiido (EFPI, Estonia)
Anna Tiido, The Russian Language as a Soft Power Tool: The Construction of National Identity by the Kremlin, October 2018 […]
Read more“Foreign Policy Analysis: German Foreign Policy Toward Russia” Jakub Eberle, Vladimir Handl (IIR, Czech Republic)
The article analyzes Germany’s policies toward Russia from an ontological security perspective. We argue that foreign policy should be seen […]
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“The Immortal Regiment: the pride and prejudice of Russia”, Mira Milosevich-Juaristi (Elcano, Spain)
The March of the Immortal Regime is a performance, a massive parade that has been celebrated in major cities both inside […]
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“Russia’s evolving gas relationship with the European Union: Trade surges despite political crises”, Marco Siddi (FIIA, Finland)
Gas trade between the European Union and Russia increased considerably in both 2016 and 2017, despite the ongoing political crisis. […]
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“Holy Rus challenged: The conflict between Churches in Ukraine has consequences for Russia, Ukraine and the Orthodox world”, Veera Laine (FIIA, Finland)
The initiative to create an autocephalous national Orthodox Church in Ukraine, proposed by the political leadership of the country, now […]
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“Communist Parties In Russia, Ukraine and Moldova: Struggling with popular demands”, Jussi Lassila & Ryhor Nizhnikau (FIIA, Finland)
The appeal of left-leaning ideas is on the rise in Russia, Ukraine and Moldova. Nonetheless, the main left-wing parties, particularly […]
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“Prospects and Parameters of the Donbas Peacekeeping Mission”, Mykhailo Pashkov (Razumkov Centre, Ukraine)
In August 2018, at the 8th meeting of Ukrainian, Russian and German experts in Italy (Cadenabbia), Co-director of the Foreign […]
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“China and Russia in global governance: Long-term obstacles to cooperation”, Marcin Kaczmarski (FIIA, Finland)
Russia and China play dissimilar roles in global governance and define their interests in this sphere in divergent ways. While […]
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“Russia and the Baltics: A Testing Ground for NATO–EU Defence Cooperation”, by Lucrezia Sapienza (IAI, Italy)
IAI Commentaries September 2018 Russia’s growing international assertiveness is particularly relevant to the Baltic region. Due to its geographic position […]
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“Pension reform in Russia: A test of the regime’s resilience and citizens’ patience”, Jussi Lassila (FIIA, Finland)
On June 14, the day that marked the kick-off for the FIFA World Cup, the Russian government announced that from […]
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“Russian geopolitical narratives from ‘geopolitics 101’ to postmodern revisionism: Implications for the Baltic-Pontic Region”, Andriy Tyushka (College of Europe Natolin)
This article maps Russia’s manifold geopolitical narratives along a divide between classical and critical geopolitical thinking and disentangles its geopolitical […]
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“Japan-Russia relations: The Kremlin has the upper hand”, Bart Gaens, Marcin Kaczmarski (FIIA, Finland)
Even though bilateral relations have warmed somewhat, Japan has failed to convince Russia to make concessions with regard to the […]
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“A Soviet project tempts Europe…again”, John Szabó (IWE, Hungary)
All eyes were on the 2018 NATO summit, as President Trump was poised to wreak havoc during his time in […]
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“EU-Russia Relations in the New Putin Era: Not Much Light at the End of the Tunnel”, András Rácz and Kristi Raik (EVI, Estonia)
On 7 May 2018, Russia entered the fourth and probably final presidency of Vladimir Putin. This was preceded by a […]
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“The US-Europe vs. Russia Triangle”, Eugene B. Rumer (IAI, Italy)
Russia’s relations with Europe and the United States are at their worst since the end of the Soviet Union. Russian […]
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Razumkov Centre presented a new publication “Taxes and Trust: From Coercion to Compliance in Poland, Russia and Ukraine”
The Razumkov Centre presented a new monograph “Taxes and Trust: From Coercion to Compliance in Poland, Russia and Ukraine” written by […]
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“The security strategies of the US, China, Russia and the EU: Living in different worlds”, Mika Aaltola, Jyrki Kallio, Kristi Raik, Katri Pynnöniemi (FIIA, Finland)
This report analyzes and compares the security strategies of four major international actors: the United States, China, Russia and the […]
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“Putin 4.0: ‘If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it’”, Arkady Moshes (FIIA, Finland)
FIIA Comment 10/2018, May 2018 Russia’s re-elected president speaks about the need to achieve a “breakthrough”. But his only realistic […]
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“Putin after Putin”, Mira Milosevich-Juaristi (Elcano, Spain)
What have been the keys to the victory of Vladimir Putin in the presidential elections held on 18 March? Does […]
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“Russian-Chinese relations in Eurasia: Harmonization or subordination”, Marcin Kaczmarski (FIIA, Finland)
FIIA Briefing Paper 238, April 2018 Russia and China have largely managed to avoid direct competition in the post-Soviet space, […]
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“Russia in the Council of Europe: Participation à la carte”, Petra Roter (CIR, Slovenia)
in: L. Mälksoo & W. Benedek (Eds.), Russia and the European Court of Human Rights: The Strasbourg Effect (European Inter-University […]
Read more“Do Western Balkans face a coming Russian storm?”, Mark Galeotti (IIR, Czech Republic)
New ECFR report by Mark Galeotti focusing on possibility of launch of a renewed Russian campaign in the Balkans in […]
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“Perspectives on an Uncertain World: Japan-EU Views on the United States and Russia”, Kazuto Suzuki (IAI, Italy)
IAI Commentaries, 18:21, March 2018 Japan and the European Union share many commonalities. Both are advanced industrialized countries, are governed […]
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“Russia’s propaganda war about Syria: How pro-Kremlin Twitter accounts manipulate the West”, Sophie Eisentraut (FIIA, Finland)
Moscow is keen to exploit the conflict in Syria in its information war against the West. Russian messaging on Syria […]
Read more“The Decline of the Big Five”, Veronika Bílková, (IIR, Czech Republic)
Is the supremacy of the Big Five, inherited from the mid-20th century, on the brink of its decline? Have the […]
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“The decreasing asymmetry in Russia-China relations: The consequences of the Western policy shift towards China”, Marcin Kaczmarski (FIIA, Finland)
The changes in the Western policy towards China have the potential to diminish the asymmetry characterizing Russian-Chinese relations so far. […]
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“Russian-Ukrainian relations: The farewell that wasn’t”, Arkady Moshes, Ryhor Nizhnikau (FIIA, Finland)
The “Revolution of Dignity” led to a considerable decrease in Russian economic, political and soft power influence over Ukraine. Yet […]
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The narrowing gap between nuclear and conventional weapons, Andrés Ortega (Elcano, Spain)
in Elcano Blog, 13 February 2018 The nuclear arms issue is back, in its strategic rather than its tactical or battlefield […]
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International expansion of Russian multinationals – A focus on home-country push factors, Europe and five CEE countries, Csaba Weiner (IWE, Hungary)
in: IWE Working Papers, December 2017 Read it here
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The Price of the Russian Elections: Easy to achieve, Putin’s victory will have huge costs, Arkady Moshes (FIIA)
Voters will give Vladimir Putin the mandate to continue great power politics. This does not augur well for any deconfliction […]
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China-Russia Security Cooperation: Geopolitical signaling with limits, Elina Sinkkonen (FIIA)
China-Russia enhanced security cooperation is a form of geopolitical signalling. Despite closer relations, the coming years will tell whether such […]
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After the Election of No Alternatives: The Kremlin’s domestic political challenges from 2018 onwards, Jussi Lassila (FIIA)
Whereas the presidential election in March 2018 hardly poses any serious challenges to Vladimir Putin, after the election the Kremlin […]
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“How are the Russians celebrating the centennial of the Revolution?”, Mira Milosevich- Juaristi, December 2017 (Elcano, Spain)
For the current Russian government, the 100th anniversary of the Revolution is not a happy occasion. The Kremlin links the […]
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Major Powers in Shared Neighbourhoods: between Cooperation and Competition, Simon Schunz, Sieglinde Gstöhl and Luk van Langenhove (eds.) (College of Europe Bruges)
Special issue of Contemporary Politics, vol. 24, no. 1, 2018 Contemporary global politics is characterised by multipolarity: globalisation and the […]
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“Harsh expectations versus a modest reality – Economic relations between the Visegrad countries and Russia surrounding the Ukrainian crisis.”, András Deák, Csaba Weiner, Simona Blašková, Barbora Chrzová, Dušan Fischer, Jonáš Syrovátka, Jakub Tomášek, Ernest Wyciszkiewicz (IWE, Hungary)
Prague Security Studies Institute, Prague. (2017) With the beginning of the millennium, the Visegrad countries – the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary […]
Read more“The Russian Su-57 and the ‘Fifth-Generation’ Challenge”, Michael Eric Lambert (IIR, Prague)
Fifth-generation aircraft – characterised by being stealthy, manoeuvrable, and multi-role and possessing advanced avionics and data processing capacities – are […]
Read more“Principles of Russian Military Thought”, Nicolò Fasola (IIR, Prague)
The aim of this paper is to identify the enduring principles at the basis of Russian military thought, which offers […]
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“The “combination”: an instrument in Russia’s information war in Catalonia, Mira Milosevich-Juaristi, (Elcano Institute)
During the independence referendum in Catalonia, Russia used the ‘combination’ (kombinaciya), an operation can integrate instruments such as cyber warfare, […]
Read moreKremlin’s Puzzle: How To Frame Putin’s Re-election?, Mark Galeotti (IIR, Czech Republic)
This autumn marks the start of an insecure election year in Russia. On 18 March 2018 Putin will most likely […]
Read moreNot-So-Soft Power: Russia’s Military Police in Syria, Mark Galeotti (IIR, Czech Republic)
Earlier this month, in Syria’s Idlib Governorate, 29 Russians found themselves encircled by fighters from the rebel front Tahrir al-Sham (which Moscow still […]
Read moreRussian Strategy in the Age of Dmitry Medvedev, Lukáš Tichý (IIR, Czech Republic)
The aim of this article is to analyze the main characteristic features of the security culture of the Russian Federation […]
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An effective antidote: The four components that make Finland more resilient to hybrid campaigns, Charly Salonius-Pasternak (FIIA, Finland)
Russia’s actions in Ukraine reminded many that states use a mixture of tools to achieve their political objectives. Analytically troublesome […]
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Security in the Baltic Sea Region: Realities and Prospects, Andris Sprūds, Māris Andžāns eds. (LIIA, Latvia)
in Riga Conference Papers 2017, September 2017 The Riga Conference Papers 2017 offers a collection of articles reflecting the realities and […]
Read moreControlling Chaos: How Russia Manages Its Political War in Europe, Mark Galeotti (IIR, Czech Republic)
This new report by Mark Galeotti on how Russia manages its political war in Europe was written for the European […]
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The EU and Geopolitics in the Mediterranean, in European Policy Briefs, MedReset, Anoush Ehteshami, Ariabarzan Mohammadi (IAI, Italy)
Anoush Ehteshami, Ariabarzan Mohammadi, The EU and Geopolitics in the Mediterranean, in European Policy Briefs, MedReset, Policy Briefs 2, IAI, […]
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Russian foreign policy: the art of avoiding choices is in high demand, Arkady Moshes (FIIA, Finland)
Vladimir Putin’s re-election campaign may not be comfortable about addressing Russia’s foreign policy situation. Skirting the issue would, however, shift […]
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Spirituality as a political instrument: The Church, the Kremlin, and the creation of the ‘Russian World’, Veera Laine & Iiris Saarelainen (FIIA, Finland)
This Working Paper analyses the way in which the Russian state and the Russian Orthodox Church use the claims related […]
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Political influence network in Twitter 2017, Juan Antonio Sánchez Giménez & Evgueni Tchubyalo (Elcano,Spain)
Twitter as a digital platform signals to the evolvement of political influence following recent world-focus events such as Brexit and […]
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EU-NATO Relations: Running on the Fumes of Informed Deconfliction, Simon Duke & Carmen Gebhard (EIPA, Maastricht)
Events in Ukraine have rekindled discussions about NATO’s post-Cold War purpose and the way it relates to the EU. Through […]
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Trajectory of the Conflict: a Model of Ukrainian-Russian Relations in the Near-Term Outlook, various authors (Razumkov Centre, Ukraine)
The publication “The Trajectory of Conflict: A Model of Ukrainian-Russian Relations in the Near Term” contains: the summary of proposals […]
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The Russian Web in the Mediterranean Region, Anna-Sophie Maass and Andrea Beccaro (College of Europe Natolin)
Nowadays, the Mediterranean region’s balance of power is challenged by several conflicts and actors. Russia has taken advantage of this […]
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‘Hacking’ into the West: Russia’s ‘Anti-Hegemonic’ Drive and the Strategic Narrative Offensive, Andriy Tyushka and James Rogers (College of Europe Natolin)
Contrary to the narrative in much of politics and academia, Russia’s alienation from the West did not start in 2014 […]
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Energy once again in the spotlight: New forms of Russian investment presence in Hungary, Csaba Weiner (IWE, Hungary)
The author, Csaba Weiner, joins the latest trend of focusing on Russian attempts at developing their political but also economic […]
Read moreCollective Defence in the Age of Hybrid Warfare, Benjamin Tallis and Michal Simecka (IIR, Czech Republic)
This discussion paper by Benjamin Tallis and Michal Šimečka, who are both senior researchers at the Institute of International Relations, provides […]
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Russia’s Information Expansion: Ukrainian Foothold, Mykhailo Pashkov (Razumkov Centre, Ukraine)
The three year hybrid war between Russia and Ukraine that started in February 2014 with the annexation of Crimea and […]
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Anti-corruption protests in Russia: The Kremlin is up against some difficult decisions, Jussi Lassila (FIIA, Finland)
The anticipated aftermath of the recent anti-corruption protests in Russia is that the Kremlin will most likely continue the country’s […]
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Belarus’s Disequilibrium: Mounting Challenges and Reluctance to Change, Arkady Moshes & Ryhor Nizhnikau (FIIA, Finland)
The pillars of social and political stability are eroding in Belarus, and the economy is deteriorating rapidly. In view of […]
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Eastern Mediterranean Geopolitical Review: Shifting Un-balances in the Middle East (University of Nicosia, Cyprus)
The Eastern Mediterranean Geopolitical Review (EMGR) is an annual scholarly journal published by the Cyprus Center for European and International […]
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Crossing the red line: how Russian interference in Western democracy is backfiring, Ulrich Speck (Elcano, Spain)
Those in the West who argue in favour of detente, of an easing of sanctions and a rapprochement with the […]
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The Cyber-Enabled Information Struggle: Russia’s approach and Western vulnerabilities, Veli-Pekka Kivimäki (FIIA, Finland)
Cyber operations related to recent elections are symptomatic of the ongoing ‘information struggle’ with the West that Russia sees itself […]
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The Crisis Over Ukraine – Three Years On: Is a “grand bargain” totally ruled out? Arkady Moshes (FIIA, Finland)
An explicit “deal” between the West and Russia on Ukraine is not possible. Europe would like to reach a more […]
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The Antitrust dispute between the European Commission and Gazprom: Towards an amicable deal, Marco Siddi (FIIA, Finland)
The European Commission has endorsed Gazprom’s commitments to revise its monopolistic practices in East-Central Europe, which would allow a better […]
Read moreCrimintern: How the Kremlin Uses Russia’s Criminal Networks in Europe, Mark Galeotti (IIR, Czech Republic)
The new report by Mark Galeotti, published by the European Council on Foreign Relations, focuses on Russia’s criminal networks in Europe. The […]
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Anti-Corruption Protests in Russia: The Kremlin is up against some difficult decisions, Jussi Lassila (FIIA, Finland)
The anticipated aftermath of the recent anti-corruption protests in Russia is that the Kremlin will most likely continue the country’s […]
Read moreWhere Two Are Fighting, the Third Has to Adjudicate – Ukraine and the Russian Federation at the International Court of Justice, Veronika Bilkova (IIR, Czech Republic)
The first hearing in the dispute between Ukraine and the Russian Federation was held at the International Court of Justice […]
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Moldova’s Election of a pro-Russian President: Implications for Europe, Elvira Melin (UI, Sweden)
In November 2016, Moldova elected Igor Dodon as president in the first presidential elections since 1996. In his campaign, Dodon […]
Read moreA European Response to the Russian Intelligence Agency, Mark Galeotti (IIR, Czech Republic)
Russian spies do not simply gather information, but seek directly to undermine European solidarity, and require a response to match. Mark […]
Read moreThe Modern Russian Army 1992-2016, Mark Galeotti (IIR, Czech Republic)
Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia’s army has undergone a turbulent transformation, from the scattered left-overs of the […]
Read moreSolidarity, Securitisation, and Europe in an Age of Hybrid Threats, Mark Galeotti (IIR, Czech Republic)
Mark Galeotti contributed to the Central European Political Science Review an analysis of the series of very real threats Europe is facing from […]
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Migration in Eurasia – the first 25 years of the Post-Soviet era, Irina Molodikova, Tamás Szigetvári (ed.) (IWE, Hungary)
MIGRATION IN THE POST-SOVIET SPACE: AN INTRODUCTION, András Deák – Irina Molodikova – Tamás Szigetvári COMPATRIOTS’ POLICY IN MODERN RUSSIA: […]
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Study for the European Parliament: “Occupation/Annexation of a Territory: Respect for International Humanitarian Law and Human Rights and Consistent EU Policy”, by Pål Wrange and Sarah Helaoui
TEPSA has recently coordinated a study for the European Parliament Committee on Foreign Affairs, authored by Pål Wrange (Stockholm University, […]
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